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Women’s March Madness Predictions

Chances of each team advancing through the tournament, updated every game-day

How this works

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UConn UConn Southern Richmond Ole Miss LSU UConn SC Richmond Ole Miss LSU USC SC GA Tech Baylor NC State UConn Texas Ole Miss FSU USC SC Ball State LSU K State Duke Baylor Mich State Oklahoma Texas GCU NC State UConn TCU GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
UConn
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
South Carolina
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
UCLA
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
Texas
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
LSU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
USC
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
TCU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
NC State
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UConn Southern Richmond Ole Miss LSU UConn SC Richmond Ole Miss LSU USC SC GA Tech Baylor NC State UConn Texas Ole Miss FSU USC SC Ball State LSU K State Duke Baylor Mich State Oklahoma Texas GCU NC State UConn TCU GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 51% 0% 49% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
UConn
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
51%
South Carolina
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
49%
UCLA
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
Texas
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
LSU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
USC
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
TCU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
NC State
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Ole Miss LSU UConn Richmond Ole Miss LSU USC SC GA Tech Baylor NC State UConn Texas Ole Miss FSU USC SC Ball State LSU K State Duke Baylor Mich State Oklahoma Texas GCU NC State UConn TCU GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 29% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 71% 40% 0% 66% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 34% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
UConn
✓
✓
✓
✓
71%
40%
South Carolina
✓
✓
✓
✓
66%
37%
Texas
✓
✓
✓
✓
34%
13%
UCLA
✓
✓
✓
✓
29%
10%
LSU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
USC
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
TCU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
NC State
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Ole Miss LSU Richmond Ole Miss LSU USC SC GA Tech Baylor NC State UConn Ole Miss FSU USC SC Ball State LSU K State Duke Baylor Mich State Oklahoma Texas GCU NC State UConn TCU GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 35% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 27% 14% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 73% 52% 29% 0% 73% 43% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 77% 25% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 23% 3% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
✓
✓
✓
73%
43%
UConn
✓
✓
✓
73%
52%
29%
UCLA
✓
✓
✓
✓
35%
13%
Texas
✓
✓
✓
77%
25%
10%
USC
✓
✓
✓
27%
14%
5%
TCU
✓
✓
✓
23%
3%
0%
LSU
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
NC State
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Ole Miss LSU Richmond Ole Miss LSU USC GA Tech Baylor NC State UConn Ole Miss FSU USC SC Ball State LSU K State Duke Baylor Mich State Oklahoma Texas GCU NC State UConn TCU GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 66% 24% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 34% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 28% 14% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 72% 54% 32% 0% 78% 57% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 22% 10% 3% 0% 77% 30% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 23% 3% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
✓
✓
78%
57%
35%
UConn
✓
✓
✓
72%
54%
32%
Texas
✓
✓
✓
77%
30%
13%
UCLA
✓
✓
✓
66%
24%
10%
USC
✓
✓
✓
28%
14%
5%
Duke
✓
✓
✓
22%
10%
3%
LSU
✓
✓
✓
34%
8%
2%
TCU
✓
✓
✓
23%
3%
1%
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
NC State
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Ole Miss LSU Richmond Ole Miss LSU GA Tech Baylor NC State Ole Miss FSU USC SC Ball State LSU K State Duke Baylor Mich State Oklahoma GCU NC State UConn GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 66% 26% 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 34% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 66% 23% 12% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 34% 7% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14% 5% 2% <1% 0% 0% 0% 86% 65% 48% 29% 0% 78% 57% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 22% 9% 3% 0% 73% 45% 18% 8% 0% 0% 0% 27% 10% 2% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 75% 37% 13% 5% 0% 0% 0% 25% 7% 1% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
✓
✓
78%
57%
35%
UConn
✓
✓
86%
65%
48%
29%
UCLA
✓
✓
✓
66%
26%
11%
Texas
✓
✓
73%
45%
18%
8%
Notre Dame
✓
✓
75%
37%
13%
5%
USC
✓
✓
66%
23%
12%
5%
Duke
✓
✓
✓
22%
9%
3%
LSU
✓
✓
✓
34%
9%
2%
Kansas State
✓
✓
34%
7%
3%
1%
Oklahoma
✓
✓
14%
5%
2%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Ole Miss Richmond Ole Miss LSU GA Tech Baylor NC State Ole Miss FSU USC Ball State LSU K State Baylor Mich State Oklahoma GCU NC State UConn GMU USC SC FSU MS State Maryland LSU K State UNC San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Texas Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 72% 48% 19% 8% 0% 0% 0% 28% 13% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 54% 23% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 46% 17% 4% <1% 0% 67% 22% 13% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 33% 7% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 15% 6% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 85% 65% 50% 29% 0% 94% 78% 57% 36% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6% 2% <1% <1% 0% 0% 0% 34% 5% 1% <1% 0% 0% 0% 66% 16% 7% 2% 0% 73% 44% 18% 8% 0% 0% 0% 27% 11% 2% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 74% 38% 14% 6% 0% 0% 0% 26% 7% 1% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
✓
94%
78%
57%
36%
UConn
✓
✓
85%
65%
50%
29%
Texas
✓
✓
73%
44%
18%
8%
UCLA
✓
✓
72%
48%
19%
8%
Notre Dame
✓
✓
74%
38%
14%
6%
USC
✓
✓
67%
22%
13%
5%
Duke
✓
✓
66%
16%
7%
2%
LSU
✓
✓
54%
23%
6%
2%
NC State
✓
✓
46%
17%
4%
1%
Kansas State
✓
✓
33%
7%
3%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Ole Miss Richmond Ole Miss GA Tech Baylor Ole Miss FSU Ball State LSU K State Baylor Mich State GCU NC State GMU USC SC FSU MS State LSU K State San Diego Kentucky Duke Harvard Iowa Mich State Oklahoma Tennessee NC State SD State ND Vermont UConn TCU USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 71% 50% 20% 8% 0% 0% 0% 29% 14% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 35% 14% 4% <1% <1% 65% 36% 15% 4% 1% 0% 0% 45% 21% 7% 1% <1% 55% 28% 11% 3% <1% 0% 80% 54% 18% 11% 4% 0% 0% 20% 7% <1% <1% <1% 0% 39% 8% 3% <1% 0% 0% 52% 9% 4% 2% <1% 0% 48% 7% 3% 1% <1% 0% 0% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97% 83% 66% 51% 31% 0% 90% 73% 54% 34% 0% 0% 0% 0% 63% 8% 3% 1% <1% 37% 2% <1% <1% <1% 0% 0% 61% 28% 6% 2% <1% 39% 13% 2% <1% <1% 0% 0% 0% 59% 15% 6% 2% 0% 87% 63% 38% 16% 7% 0% 0% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1% 33% 13% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 75% 40% 15% 6% 0% 0% 0% 25% 8% 1% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
✓
90%
73%
54%
34%
UConn
✓
97%
83%
66%
51%
31%
UCLA
✓
✓
71%
50%
20%
8%
Texas
✓
87%
63%
38%
16%
7%
Notre Dame
✓
✓
75%
40%
15%
6%
USC
✓
80%
54%
18%
11%
4%
Duke
✓
✓
59%
15%
6%
2%
LSU
✓
65%
36%
15%
4%
1%
Kansas State
✓
✓
39%
8%
3%
1%
NC State
✓
55%
28%
11%
3%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Richmond Ole Miss GA Tech Baylor Ole Miss FSU Ball State LSU Baylor Mich State GCU NC State GMU USC FSU MS State LSU K State San Diego Kentucky Harvard Iowa Mich State Oklahoma NC State SD State Vermont UConn USC SC UNCG Indiana California Alabama MS State Maryland Fairfield WVU K State UNC Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Texas Murray Illinois Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 90% 62% 44% 18% 8% 0% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% 0% 45% 15% 7% 2% <1% 0% 55% 20% 11% 3% <1% 0% 0% 34% 13% 4% <1% <1% 66% 38% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% 44% 20% 7% 1% <1% 56% 28% 11% 3% <1% 0% 80% 56% 20% 11% 5% 0% 0% 20% 8% 1% <1% <1% 0% 69% 29% 6% 3% <1% 31% 8% <1% <1% <1% 0% 52% 9% 4% 2% <1% 0% 48% 8% 3% 1% <1% 0% 0% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97% 83% 65% 50% 31% 0% 93% 84% 70% 52% 33% 0% 0% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% 0% 62% 9% 4% 1% <1% 38% 4% 1% <1% <1% 0% 0% 62% 32% 8% 3% <1% 38% 15% 3% <1% <1% 0% 0% 21% 6% <1% <1% <1% 79% 47% 13% 6% 2% 0% 87% 64% 41% 18% 9% 0% 0% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1% 51% 17% 7% 2% <1% 0% 49% 16% 7% 2% <1% 0% 23% 12% 3% <1% <1% 0% 76% 59% 32% 12% 5% 0% 0% 42% 11% 2% <1% <1% 58% 19% 6% 1% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
93%
84%
70%
52%
33%
UConn
✓
97%
83%
65%
50%
31%
Texas
✓
87%
64%
41%
18%
9%
UCLA
✓
90%
62%
44%
18%
8%
Notre Dame
✓
76%
59%
32%
12%
5%
USC
✓
80%
56%
20%
11%
5%
Duke
✓
79%
47%
13%
6%
2%
LSU
✓
66%
38%
16%
4%
1%
West Virginia
✓
62%
32%
8%
3%
1%
Kansas State
✓
69%
29%
6%
3%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA UCLA Southern Richmond Richmond Ole Miss GA Tech Baylor Ole Miss Ball State Baylor GCU GMU FSU LSU K State San Diego Kentucky Harvard Mich State NC State Vermont USC SC UNCG Indiana California MS State Fairfield K State Kentucky Oregon Liberty Duke Iowa Murray Oklahoma Tennessee FGCU Ohio State OSU Michigan SD State ND UConn Louisville AK State TCU SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU 90% 62% 44% 18% 8% 0% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% 0% 45% 14% 7% 2% <1% 0% 55% 21% 11% 3% <1% 0% 26% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 74% 26% 11% 3% <1% <1% 96% 68% 39% 16% 4% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 24% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 76% 34% 16% 5% 1% <1% 97% 60% 32% 12% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% 80% 56% 18% 10% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 40% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% 60% 13% 5% <1% <1% <1% 0% 69% 29% 7% 3% <1% 31% 8% <1% <1% <1% 0% 91% 52% 10% 4% 2% <1% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79% 41% 7% 3% 1% <1% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 61% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 39% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% 96% 82% 66% 51% 30% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92% 84% 70% 52% 34% 0% 0% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% 17% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 83% 53% 8% 4% 1% <1% 87% 40% 4% 1% <1% <1% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 19% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% 81% 52% 26% 6% 2% <1% 81% 37% 15% 3% <1% <1% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 0% 21% 7% <1% <1% <1% 79% 49% 14% 6% 2% 0% >99% 86% 64% 42% 19% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 58% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1% 42% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% 52% 16% 7% 1% <1% 0% 48% 15% 6% 1% <1% 0% 24% 13% 4% <1% <1% 0% 76% 59% 31% 13% 6% 0% 0% 42% 10% 3% <1% <1% 58% 19% 6% 1% <1% 0% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
✓
92%
84%
70%
52%
34%
UConn
100%
96%
82%
66%
51%
30%
Texas
100%
86%
64%
42%
19%
9%
UCLA
✓
90%
62%
44%
18%
8%
Notre Dame
✓
76%
59%
31%
13%
6%
USC
99%
80%
56%
18%
10%
4%
Duke
✓
79%
49%
14%
6%
2%
LSU
96%
68%
39%
16%
4%
1%
Baylor
✓
55%
21%
11%
3%
1%
Kansas State
✓
69%
29%
7%
3%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SPOKANE 1 SPOKANE 4 BIRMINGHAM 2 BIRMINGHAM 3 Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. UCLA Southern Richmond GA Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor GCU GMU FSU LSU San Diego Harvard Mich State NC State Vermont USC UNCG California MS State Fairfield K State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray Oklahoma FGCU OSU SD State UConn AK State SC TN Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk Columbia WVU UNC OR State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas W&M Creighton Illinois Tennessee USF Ohio State MT State Michigan Iowa State ND SF Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU FDU >99% 88% 62% 44% 19% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 40% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 60% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1% 87% 41% 14% 7% 2% <1% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92% 56% 21% 11% 3% <1% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 75% 27% 11% 3% <1% <1% 96% 68% 38% 16% 5% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 24% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 76% 35% 17% 6% 1% <1% 96% 60% 32% 12% 3% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% 80% 57% 20% 11% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 40% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% 60% 13% 6% <1% <1% <1% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89% 64% 26% 6% 3% <1% 82% 31% 8% <1% <1% <1% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90% 53% 10% 4% 2% <1% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79% 40% 7% 3% 1% <1% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 61% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 39% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% 95% 82% 64% 49% 29% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% 92% 84% 70% 52% 34% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 51% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% 49% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% 17% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 83% 54% 9% 4% 2% <1% 88% 40% 4% 1% <1% <1% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 19% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% 81% 54% 28% 7% 3% <1% 81% 36% 15% 3% <1% <1% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 57% 16% 6% <1% <1% <1% 43% 11% 4% <1% <1% <1% 98% 74% 45% 12% 6% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99% 86% 64% 43% 19% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 58% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% 42% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% 88% 48% 15% 7% 2% <1% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90% 49% 16% 7% 2% <1% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 53% 13% 7% 2% <1% <1% 47% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1% 99% 76% 57% 30% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 47% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% 53% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% 99% 59% 20% 6% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% UCLA Southern Richmond Georgia Tech Ole Miss Ball State Baylor Grand Canyon George Mason Florida State LSU San Diego State Harvard Michigan State NC State Vermont USC UNC Greensboro California Mississippi State Fairfield Kansas State Kentucky Liberty Iowa Murray State Oklahoma Florida Gulf Coast Oklahoma State South Dakota State UConn Arkansas State South Carolina Tennessee Tech Utah Indiana Green Bay Alabama Maryland Norfolk State Columbia West Virginia North Carolina Oregon State Vanderbilt Oregon Duke Lehigh Texas William & Mary Creighton Illinois Tennessee South Florida Ohio State Montana State Michigan Iowa State Notre Dame Stephen F. Austin Nebraska Louisville TCU Fairleigh Dickinson
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
South Carolina
100%
92%
84%
70%
52%
34%
UConn
100%
95%
82%
64%
49%
29%
Texas
100%
86%
64%
43%
19%
10%
UCLA
100%
88%
62%
44%
19%
8%
Notre Dame
99%
76%
57%
30%
11%
4%
USC
99%
80%
57%
20%
11%
4%
Duke
98%
74%
45%
12%
6%
2%
LSU
96%
68%
38%
16%
5%
1%
NC State
96%
60%
32%
12%
3%
1%
West Virginia
81%
54%
28%
7%
3%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Mark Rieke, 2025
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