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Men’s March Madness Predictions

Chances of each team advancing through the tournament, updated every game-day

How this works

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn Florida Florida AL State Creighton Michigan Mich State Florida Houston Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke Louisville TAMU Mich State Texas Tech Houston Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke UCSD Iowa State Maryland Alabama TAMU UNM Texas Tech Houston Yale Mich State Arkansas Tennessee Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Florida
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
Houston
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
Auburn
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
Michigan State
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Texas Tech
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Alabama
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Tennessee
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Michigan
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn Florida AL State Creighton Michigan Mich State Florida Houston Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke Louisville TAMU Mich State Texas Tech Houston Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke UCSD Iowa State Maryland Alabama TAMU UNM Texas Tech Houston Yale Mich State Arkansas Tennessee Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 39% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 61% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Houston
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
61%
Florida
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
39%
Auburn
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
Michigan State
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Texas Tech
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Alabama
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Tennessee
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Michigan
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Michigan Mich State Florida Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke Louisville TAMU Mich State Texas Tech Houston Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke UCSD Iowa State Maryland Alabama TAMU UNM Texas Tech Houston Yale Mich State Arkansas Tennessee Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 56% 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 51% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 49% 28% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✓
51%
30%
Houston
✓
✓
✓
✓
49%
28%
Auburn
✓
✓
✓
✓
56%
25%
Florida
✓
✓
✓
✓
44%
17%
Michigan State
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Texas Tech
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Alabama
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Tennessee
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Michigan
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Michigan Mich State Florida Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke Louisville TAMU Mich State Texas Tech Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke UCSD Iowa State Maryland Alabama TAMU UNM Texas Tech Houston Yale Mich State Arkansas Tennessee Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 65% 36% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 35% 15% 5% 0% 0% 49% 19% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 57% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 62% 29% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 38% 14% 7% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
✓
✓
✓
✓
57%
35%
Florida
✓
✓
✓
✓
49%
19%
Houston
✓
✓
✓
62%
29%
18%
Auburn
✓
✓
✓
65%
36%
16%
Tennessee
✓
✓
✓
38%
14%
7%
Michigan State
✓
✓
✓
35%
15%
5%
Texas Tech
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Alabama
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
Michigan
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Michigan Mich State Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Florida Louisville TAMU Mich State Texas Tech Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke UCSD Iowa State Maryland Alabama TAMU UNM Texas Tech Houston Yale Mich State Arkansas Tennessee Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 65% 39% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 35% 16% 5% 0% 0% 60% 29% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 40% 16% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 64% 36% 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 36% 15% 8% 61% 33% 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 39% 16% 8% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
✓
✓
✓
64%
36%
22%
Houston
✓
✓
✓
61%
33%
20%
Auburn
✓
✓
✓
65%
39%
18%
Florida
✓
✓
✓
60%
29%
13%
Tennessee
✓
✓
✓
39%
16%
8%
Alabama
✓
✓
✓
36%
15%
8%
Texas Tech
✓
✓
✓
40%
16%
6%
Michigan State
✓
✓
✓
35%
16%
5%
Michigan
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
Ole Miss
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Michigan Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Florida Louisville TAMU Mich State Texas Tech Michigan Ole Miss Florida Duke UCSD Iowa State Maryland Alabama TAMU UNM Texas Tech Yale Mich State Arkansas Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 77% 54% 32% 16% 0% 0% 0% 23% 10% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 36% 10% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 64% 26% 11% 4% 0% 0% 58% 31% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 42% 19% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 64% 38% 24% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 36% 17% 9% 74% 49% 27% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 26% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 32% 9% 2% <1% 0% 0% 68% 30% 13% 7% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
✓
✓
✓
64%
38%
24%
Houston
✓
✓
74%
49%
27%
17%
Auburn
✓
✓
77%
54%
32%
16%
Florida
✓
✓
✓
58%
31%
13%
Alabama
✓
✓
✓
36%
17%
9%
Texas Tech
✓
✓
✓
42%
19%
7%
Tennessee
✓
✓
68%
30%
13%
7%
Michigan State
✓
✓
64%
26%
11%
4%
Purdue
✓
✓
26%
11%
3%
1%
Ole Miss
✓
✓
36%
10%
3%
1%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Michigan Creighton Michigan Ole Miss Louisville TAMU Mich State Michigan Ole Miss Florida UCSD Iowa State Maryland TAMU UNM Texas Tech Yale Mich State Arkansas Ole Miss Florida Duke UNC UConn Arizona Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland Alabama UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Kentucky Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 78% 54% 33% 16% 0% 0% 0% 22% 9% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 36% 11% 4% <1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 64% 27% 13% 5% 0% 0% 62% 39% 20% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 38% 19% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 71% 34% 17% 7% 0% 0% 29% 8% 2% <1% 0% 0% 0% 71% 48% 28% 19% 0% 0% 0% 0% 29% 15% 6% 3% 0% 36% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 64% 27% 12% 6% 75% 51% 29% 19% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 11% 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 32% 8% 3% <1% 0% 0% 68% 30% 14% 7% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Houston
✓
✓
75%
51%
29%
19%
Duke
✓
✓
71%
48%
28%
19%
Auburn
✓
✓
78%
54%
33%
16%
Florida
✓
✓
62%
39%
20%
9%
Tennessee
✓
✓
68%
30%
14%
7%
Texas Tech
✓
✓
71%
34%
17%
7%
Alabama
✓
✓
64%
27%
12%
6%
Michigan State
✓
✓
64%
27%
13%
5%
Arizona
✓
✓
29%
15%
6%
3%
Maryland
✓
✓
38%
19%
8%
2%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Michigan Creighton Michigan Louisville TAMU Michigan Ole Miss UCSD Iowa State TAMU UNM Texas Tech Yale Mich State Arkansas Ole Miss Florida UNC UConn Lipscomb CSU BYU Iowa State Maryland UNM Drake Houston Marquette Texas Tech Purdue Mich State Arkansas Bryant St. John’s Tennessee Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 77% 50% 32% 17% 0% 0% 0% 23% 9% 3% <1% 0% 0% 0% 30% 12% 4% 1% <1% 0% 0% 70% 43% 20% 12% 5% 31% 11% 3% <1% <1% 0% 69% 35% 15% 8% 3% 0% 0% 61% 41% 26% 13% 6% 0% 39% 22% 11% 4% 2% 0% 29% 7% 2% <1% <1% 71% 30% 15% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 71% 37% 17% 7% 0% 0% 29% 9% 2% <1% 0% 0% 0% 76% 56% 40% 24% 15% 24% 11% 5% 2% <1% 0% 0% 35% 9% 4% 1% <1% 65% 24% 13% 6% 3% 0% 42% 14% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 33% 15% 5% 2% <1% 0% 67% 43% 20% 9% 5% 75% 49% 30% 19% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 11% 4% 2% 0% 61% 27% 10% 4% 2% 0% 39% 12% 3% <1% <1% 0% 0% 61% 27% 13% 7% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Houston
✓
✓
75%
49%
30%
19%
Auburn
✓
✓
77%
50%
32%
17%
Duke
✓
76%
56%
40%
24%
15%
Texas Tech
✓
✓
71%
37%
17%
7%
Tennessee
✓
✓
61%
27%
13%
7%
Florida
✓
61%
41%
26%
13%
6%
Iowa State
✓
70%
43%
20%
12%
5%
Alabama
✓
67%
43%
20%
9%
5%
Michigan State
✓
69%
35%
15%
8%
3%
Arizona
✓
65%
24%
13%
6%
3%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Creighton Michigan Louisville TAMU Michigan Ole Miss UCSD Iowa State TAMU UNM Yale Mich State Ole Miss Florida UNC UConn Lipscomb CSU Iowa State Maryland UNM Drake Marquette Texas Tech Mich State Arkansas Bryant St. John’s Norfolk Duke Florida Baylor Oklahoma Oregon UConn Arizona Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland SMC GCU Alabama Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Illinois Arkansas Kentucky Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 77% 57% 37% 23% 13% 0% 23% 10% 4% 1% <1% 0% 40% 11% 4% 1% <1% 0% 60% 22% 10% 4% 1% 0% 30% 12% 4% 1% <1% 0% 0% 70% 43% 22% 12% 6% 31% 10% 3% <1% <1% 0% 69% 35% 16% 8% 4% 0% 0% 61% 41% 25% 14% 7% 0% 39% 23% 11% 5% 2% 0% 29% 7% 2% <1% <1% 71% 30% 14% 6% 2% 0% 0% 24% 7% 2% <1% <1% 76% 43% 22% 11% 5% 0% 0% 28% 10% 3% <1% <1% 0% 72% 40% 20% 10% 4% 0% 76% 55% 39% 25% 16% 24% 11% 5% 2% <1% 0% 0% 36% 10% 4% 1% <1% 64% 24% 12% 6% 3% 0% 49% 20% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0% 51% 23% 8% 3% 1% 0% 34% 15% 5% 2% <1% 0% 66% 42% 19% 9% 5% 68% 54% 37% 22% 15% 0% 32% 21% 11% 5% 2% 0% 0% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% 0% 77% 23% 10% 4% 1% 0% 61% 30% 12% 5% 2% 0% 39% 15% 5% 2% <1% 34% 15% 5% 2% <1% 0% 66% 40% 19% 10% 5% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
✓
76%
55%
39%
25%
16%
Houston
✓
68%
54%
37%
22%
15%
Auburn
✓
77%
57%
37%
23%
13%
Florida
✓
61%
41%
25%
14%
7%
Iowa State
✓
70%
43%
22%
12%
6%
Tennessee
✓
66%
40%
19%
10%
5%
Texas Tech
✓
76%
43%
22%
11%
5%
Alabama
✓
66%
42%
19%
9%
5%
St. John's
✓
72%
40%
20%
10%
4%
Michigan State
✓
69%
35%
16%
8%
4%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn Auburn AL State Creighton Creighton Michigan Louisville TAMU Michigan UCSD TAMU Yale Ole Miss UNC Lipscomb Iowa State UNM Drake Marquette Texas Tech Mich State Arkansas Bryant St. John’s Norfolk Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis BYU CSU Wisconsin Maryland GCU Missouri Houston Drake Gonzaga Texas Tech McNeese Wilmington Purdue Kansas Arkansas Omaha UCLA St. John’s Tennessee MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford 78% 57% 37% 23% 13% 0% 22% 10% 4% 1% <1% 0% 41% 11% 4% 2% <1% 0% 59% 22% 10% 5% 2% 0% 42% 15% 6% 2% <1% <1% 58% 25% 12% 5% 2% <1% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90% 58% 35% 17% 9% 4% 39% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% 61% 29% 13% 5% 2% <1% 91% 56% 30% 14% 7% 3% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96% 64% 45% 27% 14% 7% 31% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% 69% 28% 17% 9% 4% 1% 59% 25% 8% 3% <1% <1% 41% 15% 4% 1% <1% <1% 78% 52% 21% 10% 5% 2% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% 0% 25% 8% 2% <1% <1% 75% 42% 22% 11% 5% 0% 0% 28% 10% 3% 1% <1% 0% 72% 40% 21% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99% 77% 58% 40% 24% 16% 59% 15% 8% 3% 1% <1% 41% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% 38% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% 62% 25% 6% 2% <1% <1% 87% 59% 22% 11% 5% 2% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 49% 21% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0% 51% 22% 8% 3% 2% 35% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% 65% 23% 11% 4% 1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96% 69% 44% 21% 11% 6% 68% 54% 38% 23% 15% 0% 32% 21% 11% 5% 2% 0% 0% 24% 3% <1% <1% <1% 0% 76% 23% 10% 4% 2% 37% 20% 8% 2% <1% <1% 63% 43% 21% 9% 4% 2% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 80% 34% 13% 4% 1% <1% 35% 17% 6% 2% <1% 0% 65% 41% 20% 10% 5% 0% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
99%
77%
58%
40%
24%
16%
Houston
✓
68%
54%
38%
23%
15%
Auburn
✓
78%
57%
37%
23%
13%
Florida
96%
64%
45%
27%
14%
7%
Alabama
96%
69%
44%
21%
11%
6%
Tennessee
✓
65%
41%
20%
10%
5%
Texas Tech
✓
75%
42%
22%
11%
5%
St. John's
✓
72%
40%
21%
10%
4%
Iowa State
90%
58%
35%
17%
9%
4%
Michigan State
91%
56%
30%
14%
7%
3%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Championship Final 4 Elite 8 Sweet 16 Round of 32 Round of 64 SOUTH WEST EAST MIDWEST Hover over each team to see their chances of advancing. Auburn AL State Creighton Louisville Michigan UCSD TAMU Yale Ole Miss UNC Lipscomb Iowa State UNM Marquette Mich State Bryant Norfolk Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis CSU Maryland GCU Missouri Drake Texas Tech Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s MSM Duke Baylor MS State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt SMC RMU Alabama Houston SIUE Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford >99% 78% 59% 39% 26% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 50% 11% 5% 2% <1% <1% 50% 11% 5% 2% <1% <1% 60% 28% 8% 3% 1% <1% 40% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% 75% 47% 18% 8% 4% 1% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% 42% 15% 6% 2% <1% <1% 58% 24% 11% 4% 2% <1% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89% 59% 36% 19% 10% 5% 38% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% 62% 29% 13% 5% 2% <1% 91% 56% 29% 13% 7% 3% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96% 63% 44% 27% 14% 7% 31% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% 69% 29% 17% 9% 4% 1% 59% 26% 8% 3% <1% <1% 41% 15% 4% 1% <1% <1% 78% 52% 23% 11% 4% 2% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% 58% 21% 8% 3% <1% <1% 42% 12% 4% <1% <1% <1% 89% 64% 35% 18% 9% 4% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 66% 30% 15% 7% 3% 1% 34% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95% 58% 34% 18% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99% 76% 57% 39% 24% 16% 59% 16% 8% 3% 1% <1% 41% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% 38% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% 62% 25% 6% 2% <1% <1% 88% 60% 23% 12% 5% 2% 12% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 55% 29% 12% 4% 2% <1% 45% 21% 8% 3% <1% <1% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 91% 49% 21% 8% 3% 1% 35% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% 65% 23% 11% 4% 2% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96% 69% 45% 22% 11% 6% 98% 72% 55% 38% 24% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 72% 24% 15% 8% 3% 2% 28% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% 73% 37% 10% 4% 1% <1% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% 17% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 83% 51% 17% 7% 3% 1% 37% 20% 7% 2% <1% <1% 63% 43% 21% 9% 4% 2% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 80% 34% 14% 5% 1% <1% 61% 23% 11% 4% 1% <1% 39% 11% 4% <1% <1% <1% 93% 65% 41% 21% 10% 6% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% Auburn Alabama State Creighton Louisville Michigan UC San Diego Texas A&M Yale Ole Miss North Carolina Lipscomb Iowa State New Mexico Marquette Michigan State Bryant Norfolk State Florida Oklahoma UConn Memphis Colorado State Maryland Grand Canyon Missouri Drake Texas Tech UNC Wilmington Kansas Arkansas Omaha St. John’s Mount St. Mary’s Duke Baylor Mississippi State Liberty Oregon Arizona Akron BYU VCU Montana Wisconsin Vanderbilt Saint Mary’s Robert Morris Alabama Houston SIU Edwardsville Gonzaga Georgia Clemson McNeese High Point Purdue Xavier Illinois Troy Kentucky UCLA Utah State Tennessee Wofford
Round of 32
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final 4
Championship
Win Tournament
Duke
99%
76%
57%
39%
24%
16%
Houston
98%
72%
55%
38%
24%
15%
Auburn
99%
78%
59%
39%
26%
14%
Florida
96%
63%
44%
27%
14%
7%
Alabama
96%
69%
45%
22%
11%
6%
Tennessee
93%
65%
41%
21%
10%
6%
Iowa State
89%
59%
36%
19%
10%
5%
Texas Tech
89%
64%
35%
18%
9%
4%
St. John's
95%
58%
34%
18%
8%
4%
Michigan State
91%
56%
29%
13%
7%
3%
1–10 of 64 rows
...
Chances of each team advancing to the next round

Team has advanced to this round

Team was eliminated

Mark Rieke, 2025
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